New Mexico
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
201  Graham Thomas SR 32:13
333  Jacob Simonsen FR 32:36
417  Jesus Mendoza SR 32:46
480  Alexander Palm FR 32:53
546  Zac Castillo JR 33:00
767  Adam Cotton SR 33:25
811  Jared Garcia FR 33:29
862  Emil Danielsson FR 33:32
1,824  Tyler Valdez JR 34:51
National Rank #61 of 312
Mountain Region Rank #9 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 86.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Graham Thomas Jacob Simonsen Jesus Mendoza Alexander Palm Zac Castillo Adam Cotton Jared Garcia Emil Danielsson Tyler Valdez
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 1046 32:29 32:50 34:21 33:19 33:38 33:24 34:34
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 816 32:08 32:33 32:19 32:40 32:38 33:25 33:06 33:54
Mountain West Championship 10/28 929 32:14 33:13 32:45 32:53 32:56 32:53 33:43 33:31 35:09
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 824 32:14 32:18 32:35 32:24 32:53 34:05 33:24





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 27.5 643 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 9.1 268 0.1 0.4 2.3 30.5 34.1 19.5 9.5 3.7 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Graham Thomas 9.1% 126.5
Jacob Simonsen 0.1% 192.0
Jesus Mendoza 0.1% 233.0
Alexander Palm 0.1% 209.0
Zac Castillo 0.1% 215.0
Adam Cotton 0.1% 219.0
Jared Garcia 0.1% 236.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Graham Thomas 37.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.7 1.9 2.0
Jacob Simonsen 49.3 0.1
Jesus Mendoza 54.8
Alexander Palm 59.1
Zac Castillo 62.3
Adam Cotton 74.1
Jared Garcia 76.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 0.4% 28.6% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 6
7 2.3% 2.3 7
8 30.5% 30.5 8
9 34.1% 34.1 9
10 19.5% 19.5 10
11 9.5% 9.5 11
12 3.7% 3.7 12
13 0.3% 0.3 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1 0.1 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0